Tuesday, August 11, 2009

keep those dogies movin´

As everyone knows, the main bus terminal (Cumanda) in Quito has now been replaced by two brand new facilities, built to resemble airports.

Terminal Terrestre Norte (Carcelen) is to the north (surprisingly enough) and services those companies sending buses to Otavalo, Ibarra and that area, as well as those going through to the Colombian border.

Terminal Terrestre Sur (Quitumbe) is more to the west (maybe south west) and services the rest of the country. It is much bigger.

While the new terminals are nice and clean and feel much safer, they are also a massive pain in the arse, being much further away from the city and therefore much more expensive to get to. Not only that, if you want to connect from Otavalo through to somewhere else in the country you´re going to be faced with a massive logistical effort just to change buses.

Having been to both, I though I´d share some information on how to get out there.

If you´re travelling to the northern terminal, it is theoretically possible to get there by bus. From the Mariscal go to 6 de Deciembre (that´s a street name if you were wondering) and take the Ecovia bus all the way to the terminal at Rio Coca. From the Mariscal, that means you want to be heading LEFT. From Rio Coca you can then get another bus to go to the terminal at Carcelen. Unfortunately, when I tried this the buses were completely packed (people jammed in tightly) and going with my luggage was not a realistic option.


Ecoivia buses

Instead I took a taxi. Cost was $6, arranged in advance. On the way back with the meter on the cost was $4.50, although the traffic was light.I would suggest that $5 sounds like a realistic amount if you´re bargaining, if you get offered below that, take it. If above, negotiate, or maybe ask for the meter (although not with a young driver, they´ll drive in circles and rip you off. Possibly).

For the southern terminal it´s possible to take the Trole bus from 10 de Agosto (again a street name). The trole goes all the way to the Quitumbe terminal so that´s a good option. Only 25c! Again, from the Mariscal, you want to head LEFT. Unfortunately, again, when I tried to do it the buses were completely crowded. People without luggage were waiting for 3 or 4 buses before getting on or giving up. With a pack there was no way I was getting on. Instead I got a taxi for $6.50. While I first thought that this was expensive, it´s actually a long way to get out there, I think I probably got a bargain. I would not be surprised if you get charged a lot more, try and bargain down. $7 seems a realistic amount. At the terminal itself one driver quoted $11, no lower, so take your time.

Coming into Quito I did take the Trole into the Old Town and that was quite good. It started to get full but nothing to bad. Unfortunately, more and more people get on as you get closer to town. I imagine that by the time you got to the Mariscal you wouldn´t be able to move, let alone carry a bag. Plus, imagine trying to prevent someone slashing your bag when you can´t move or see anything. A good option maybe to take the Trole to the Old Town, get off at the park with the observatory (or when things start to get crowded) and then take a taxi. From the observatory you´re looking at less than $3 (maybe 2) for a taxi.

For more information on the new terminals, try this link here. Otherwise, try asking travellers or locals about what the price should be. If the driver won´t lower the price to where it should be, get out of the cab. He´ll probably give in. Of course, this only works if your price is realistic.

Good luck!

Harry

Saturday, August 8, 2009

Right again...

Seems maybe the Australian cricket team have relearned the value of line and length. Of course they haven´t actually won anything yet, but who knows?





Rebecca Wilson (she who used to be on the Fat) is quite scathing of the team as a whole. Apparently this English team that is giving us so much trouble was bowled out by the West Indies for 55 runs. Personally, I wasn´t even sure the windies still had a team!






It sounds like the Australians have some real issues with team unity at the moment. Who knows what will happen? At least it´s good to see Shane Watson actually play in a cricket match. Statistically speaking he´ll probably be injured tomorrow, but at least he´s there now.





cheers





Harry

Friday, July 31, 2009

The future is now...

Apparently Angus is the future of the entertainment and information industries.

Not surprising really.




ps when Angus grows a moustache he looks like Adolf Hitler. Coincidence? I´ll let you be the judge.

Friday, July 24, 2009

Gone but not forgotten

"I saw that Test match on television and had (Michael) Clarke not scored a century in the second innings the margin of defeat could have been over 250 runs," Qadir said.

Then he says we should bring Warne back if we want to win the Ashes.

Can´t disagree, although from the sounds of it replacing Johnson with Stuart Clarke and bowling line and length to the tail enders might be another sensible option.

I believe this is the first time England have won at Lords since 1934?

Harry

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Global Financial Crisis + 1

As I´m sure some of you may have heard, there´s a distinct possibility of the current problems in the US being extended even further. This is because of another class of loans that is about to begin causing big problems.

These are the alt-A loans. The barefoot investor says

If sub-prime loans have been referred to as toxic, then the Alt-As are like passing wind in an elevator—not exactly toxic, but still not pleasant.

People with less-than-stellar credit histories got these loans (liars took out sub-prime).

Just like with sub-prime loans, the honeymoon is ending for many people who took out these Alt-A loans in the boom years. They’re just starting to see their loans reset to higher rates—and the default rates are soaring.

The professionals who watch these things closely predict that over the next 12 to 18 months these loans will be the cause of another wave of mortgage defaults.


Basically, the further down the tube the US financial system goes, the more people get laid off and the more people get freaked out, stop ALL discretionary spending and start eating rice for every meal.

Now the success in recent times of China has been fueled to a large extent by the fact that there were lots of Americans spending lots of money (cash and credit) on crap that was made in China. Basically lots and lots of discretionary spending. Now, obviously crap from China is generally cheap, so there will continue to be some demand, but it is an absolute certainty that consumer spending has taken a big hit and will continue to do so as long as people are worried that they won´t have a job next week (a very real fear for many in the US).

So what does this mean for China? They have a developing home market to sell to, will continue to have some demand in the US and they still sell to markets around the world, both in the developed and developing world (definitely Chinese crap for sale in Ecuador). However, realistically they are going to experience a severe drop in demand. There current free-for-all attitude to capitalism will see an accompanying massive rise in unemployment as factories close or shed staff.

So, we have an oppressive, nationalistic and brutal dictatorship, with a young, male dominated population (some estimates suggest there maybe 40 million more young men than young women in China) and great unrest and dissatisfaction caused by unemployment and hardship.

What do dictatorships sometimes do in situations like this? They find a diversion to take the people´s minds off the problem. How?

Traditionally they start a war.

I don´t think it´s at all unrealistic to expect that a newly empowered China, with billions of dollars cash, a gradually modernising military and a range of domestic problems might see this as a good way to get people supporting the Government and forgetting about domestic issues.

So where?

Probably not Taiwan, although it is definitely possible. Obama seems to prefer talking to doing anything realistic (like deploying a carrier battlegroup) and there might be an opportunity to make some noise and score some points, even if nothing else.

China is basically next door to Russia´s possessions in the East, possessions that are both immensely wealthy and also often underutilised due to Russia´s population crisis. Such a target would be attractive but Russia a) supports China in the Security Council on various matters to do with oppressing human rights and has b) lots of tanks (better than the Chinese) and c) nukes.

India is another neighbour of China and the two have clashed in the past, mostly at brutally high altitudes where nobody is around to hear you scream. This would be a likely scenario, as the conflict could be contained, however there´s nothing very exciting about capturing a mountain or two, it doesn´t really mean anything.

Mongolia is right next door, but China already has shit loads of semi desert, do they really want more? Probably not.

So where than?

The three most likely options as I see them are:

A brutal crackdown of the Uighurs and other ethnic minority groups, under the guise of putting down a rebellion or averting a civil war.

Annexing the Spratley Islands would be another possible move. They are claimed by China, the Philipines, Vietnam and (I believe)Thailand. Apparently some Chinese ships sailed through the area many hundreds of years ago, so that seems a good reason for the Chinese to claim them. This would be a small scale conflict, characterised by sinking a few enemy ships and loudly declaiming that what was rightfully Chinese has been reclaimed.

Similarly, Vietnam for many hundreds of years was a Chinese possession and the two countries even clashed in the late 70´s (the Chinese were embarrassed rather dreadfully). While China is unlikely to want all of Vietnam, they might consider ädjusting¨ the border somewhat, getting a conflict, some land and lots of patriotic fervour, all together in one big package.

Another out there option?

China apparently has 1 million ethnic Chinese in Africa in various positions. The Chinese are the reason that Sudan continues to kill black people with impunity and why Robert Mugabe is still the man in Zimbabwe. While it´s extremely unlikely the Chinese would actually try and conquer anything, they might send in the troops to help an ally out and get some fighting happening.

Of course there´s lots of other possibilities, but I think the idea of China using it´s military as a way to divert attention from domestic issues is a very realistic one.

You heard it here first!

Harry

Thursday, July 16, 2009

Triple J - Hottest 100

The Australian radio station Triple J (also known as JJJ) celebrated it´s vote of the hottest 100 songs of all time recently. As the entire blogging world no doubt knows, Angus commented on the result, suggesting that the listeners of said station were out of touch with popular culture (while simultaneously suggesting Stevie Wonder as his second favourite artist of all time!)

It was actually a very good post, you should go and check it out here.

I have to agree with his general view on things, a lot of the songs (or at least the artists) on that list are ones I enjoy, but certainly not ones that I listen to regularly. Nirvana, Queen and the Foofighters are definitely in this category.

So I´ve been thinking about it and about my favourite songs and I´ve come up with some lists of my own. The following are all artists I listen to regularly and really love their music, not just the songs listed, but these are probably my favourites. Listed in no particular order(and I could easily list a dozen for each artist)...

Blackalicious - Feel the way

Johny Cash - Four Strong Winds

Van Morrison - Moondance

Hilltop Hoods - Nosebleed Section

Eminem - Lose Yourself

Nick Cave - Ship Song


If I had nothing but the music of thes 6 artists for the rest of my life I could deal with that. Special mention must go to

Sir Mix-a-lot - Baby got back

Try and find a (youngish) person who doesn´t like this song! Also, one of all my all time favourites, even though I don´t know any of their other songs, is

the Choirboys - Run to Paradise

I love that song, and have done for a long time.

The following are songs and artists which would definitely fit into my top 100 (no problem at all). Some have many great songs, some only have one song worth listening to (Funky Cold Medina anyone?)

Kanye West - Golddigger
Guns and Roses - Cold november rain
Bon Jovi - Blaze of Glory
Fujees - Killing me softly
Roxette - Listen to your heart
Grandmaster Flash - The Message
Bob Marley - Buffalo Soldiers
Survivor - Eye of the Tiger
Tone Loc - Funky Cold Medina
Michael Jackson - Billy Jean
Foofighters - All my life
Grinspoon - Bad Funk Stripe
Public Enemy - Fight the Power
Lupe Fiasco - Kick Push
Bliss n Esso - Up jumped the boogie

Greenday - Time of your life


Special mention must go to the last song. Yes it´s cheesy and massively overused, but it´s actually a fantastic song and very effective at getting people emotional at graduations and similar events.

And the following three songs should be on every Australians top ten list of all time, at least in my personal opinion. They sum up Australia in music. The only possible addition is Tenterfield Saddler, by Peter Allen, but I´ve very rarely heard it.

Icehouse - Great Southern Land
Gangajang - Sounds of Then (that´s the one with the lyrics - out on the patio we sit...)
Men at Work - Land Downunder


So that´s some of the music that I like and that I think has stood the test of time.

I can´t really comment on the rest of the Australian public. I think there´s a still a general dislike or antipathy towards rap music in Australia, especially because many people still automatically associate it with ¨gangsta rap¨and all the negative connotations that brings up. The Hilltop Hoods (and to a lesser extent Eminem) are probably the real breakthrough artists for rap in Australia, they definitely were for me, no doubt at all.

And Angus listed ¨The Boxer¨by Simon and Garfunkel. I haven´t heard that song in years and years, I used to really love it. If I had it on my MP3 player I think it might have made my list as well.

And since my non-existent readers are probably singing to themselves ¨when a girl walks in with an itty bitty waist and a round thing in your face....¨here´s some music for you!

cheers

Harry



ps not much posting lately because of travel and crappy internet cafes. Definitely lots to share though.

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I am the Hiphopopotumus, my lyrics are bottomless......